eCommerce - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

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Methodology Overview FAQs

Market Insights eCommerce

  • Worldwide
  • Revenue in the eCommerce Market is projected to reach US$3,178.00bn in 2024.
  • Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 9.47%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$4,997.00bn by 2029.
  • In the eCommerce Market, the number of users is expected to amount to 3.2bn users by 2029.
  • User penetration will be 36.6% in 2024 and is expected to hit 44.4% by 2029.
  • The average revenue per user (ARPU) is expected to amount to US$1,387.00.

Key regions: United States, Asia, China, Japan, South Korea

Definition:

eCommerce, short for electronic commerce, refers to the sale of physical goods via a digital channel to a private end consumer (B2C). This definition encompasses purchases via desktop computers (including notebooks and laptops) as well as purchases via mobile devices (e.g., smartphones and tablets) through a website or mobile application. The eCommerce market includes businesses that operate solely online, as well as those that have a physical presence but also sell products or services online. eCommerce encompasses a wide range of industries, from retail and consumer goods to travel and hospitality, and is a rapidly growing segment of the global economy. The rise of eCommerce has enabled businesses to reach customers worldwide, increase sales, and offer new and innovative products and services.

Structure:

eCommerce consists of 14 different markets:

  • The Beverages market contains the sale of various types of beverages through digital channels which covers a wide range of products, such as beverages, including alcoholic and non-alcoholic drinks, tea, coffee, and energy drinks.
  • The Food market contains the sale of food-related products through digital channels to provide consumers with a convenient and accessible way to purchase groceries and specialty food items.
  • The Tobacco Products market comprises digital sales from cigarettes, cigars, e-cigarettes, and smoking tobacco.
  • The Household Essentials market includes the sale of products related to home care, laundry care, and household essentials through digital channels which covers a wide range of products such as dishwashing detergents, household cleaners, baby diapers, face masks, feminine hygiene or paper tissues.
  • The Beauty & Personal Care market includes online sales of products related to haircare, makeup, and fragrances.
  • The Fashion market includes the sale of clothing, shoes, and accessories through digital channels from a wide range of brands, designers, and retailers.
  • The Eyewear market includes online sales of contact lenses, eyewear frames, spectacle lenses, and sunglasses through digital channels.
  • The Electronics market comprises the sale of electronic devices, gadgets, and accessories through digital channels which includes products, such as smartphones, laptops, cameras, and smart home devices.
  • The Furniture market comprises the sale of furniture and home decor products through digital channels which covers a wide range of furniture products, including sofas, beds, chairs, and tables.
  • The OTC Pharmaceuticals market comprises a variety of personal health products sold online, such as analgesics, cold & cough remedies, digestives, vitamins, and supplements.
  • The Toys & Hobby market contains the sale of products related to hobbies and leisure activities through digital channels including toys, games, puzzles, model kits, and crafting supplies.
  • The Luxury Goods market refers to the online sales of high-end and premium products, such as designer clothing, accessories, jewelry, and watches.
  • The DIY and Hardware Store market refers to the online retail sector that focuses on the sale of do-it-yourself (DIY) and hardware products. This market includes a wide range of products such as power tools, hand tools, building materials, electrical supplies, plumbing supplies, and gardening equipment.
  • The Media market includes the sale of media-related products through digital channels which covers products, such as books, music, movies, and video games.

Additional Information:

eCommerce comprises revenues, users, average revenue per user, and penetration rates. Revenues are derived from annual filings, national statistical offices, Google- and Alibaba-Trends, and industry knowledge. Sales Channels show online and offline revenue shares, as well as, desktop and mobile sales distribution. Revenues include VAT. The market only displays B2C revenues and users for the above-mentioned markets, hence C2C, B2B, and reCommerce are not included. Additional definitions can be found on each respective market page.

Key players in the market are companies like Amazon, JD, Taobao, Tmall, Apple and Walmart.

in-scope

  • Sale of physical goods via a digital channel to a private end user (B2C)
  • Purchases via desktop computers (including notebooks) and purchases via mobile devices such as Apple iPhones

out-of-scope

  • Digital media such as Netflix, iTunes, Amazon Kindle
  • Digitally distributed services (eg plane tickets) such as Expedia
  • B2B markets such as Alibaba
  • Resale of used goods (reCommerce) such as refurbed
  • Sales between private persons such as Craigslist

eCommerce

Related markets:

Fashion

Media

Food

Furniture

Eyewear

OTC Pharmaceuticals

Tobacco Products

Beverages

Household Essentials

Luxury Goods

eServices

Online Food Delivery

Dating Services

Online Education

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eCommerce - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast (1)

Download PDF FAQs and more info on the methodology

Market

Region

Region comparison

Currency

Methodology

Data coverage:

Data refers to B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the sale of physical goods via a digital channel to a private end consumer. This definition encompasses purchases via desktop computers (including notebooks and laptops) as well as purchases via mobile devices (e.g., smartphones and tablets). The following are not included in the eCommerce market: digitally distributed services (see instead: eServices), digital media downloads or streams, digitally distributed goods in B2B markets, and the digital purchase or resale of used, defective, or repaired goods (reCommerce and C2C). All monetary figures refer to the annual gross revenue and do not factor in shipping costs.

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined by a combined top-down and bottom-up approach, based on a specific rationale for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use annual financial reports of the market-leading companies and industry associations, third-party studies and reports, survey results from our primary research (e.g., Statista Global Consumer Survey), data on shopping behavior (e.g., Google Trends, Alibaba Trends), and performance factors (e.g., user penetration, price/product). Furthermore, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations such as GDP, consumer spending, internet penetration, and population. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the particular market. For example, the S-curve function and exponential trend smoothing are well suited for forecasting digital products and services due to the non-linear growth of technology adoption. The main drivers are GDP per capita, consumer spending per capita, internet penetration, and population.

Additional notes:

The market is updated twice per year in case market dynamics change. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is considered at a country-specific level. The impact of the Russia/Ukraine war is considered at a country-specific level.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Key Players
  • Sales Channels
  • Users
  • Global Comparison
  • ReCommerce
  • Social Commerce
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators

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eCommerce - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast (2024)

FAQs

What is the forecast for eCommerce worldwide? ›

Revenue in the eCommerce Market is projected to reach US$4,173.00bn in 2024. Revenue is expected to show an annual growth rate (CAGR 2024-2029) of 9.50%, resulting in a projected market volume of US$6,568.00bn by 2029.

What is the forecast for the eCommerce market? ›

The revenue in the E-commerce market in the United States was forecast to continuously increase between 2024 and 2029 by in total 692.7 billion U.S. dollars (+52.41 percent). After the tenth consecutive increasing year, the indicator is estimated to reach 2 trillion U.S. dollars and therefore a new peak in 2029.

What is the e-commerce forecast for 2025? ›

Worldwide Ecommerce Sales are projected to top $7 trillion in 2025, even as sales subsidize following a two-year boom.

What is the eCommerce market forecast for 2024? ›

Key Stat: Ecommerce sales will cross the $6 trillion mark this year, and 20.1% of all retail sales will be conducted digitally. Excluding China from the calculus, the worldwide ecommerce share will be 12.4%.

How big will ecommerce be in 2030? ›

Global e-commerce market turned into valued at US$ 18.98 Trillion in 2022. Global e-commerce market size is projected to reach US$ 47.73 Trillion by 2030. Global e-commerce market is growing at a CAGR of 12.22% from 2022 to 2030.

Is e-commerce still profitable in 2024? ›

With online sales reaching $5.7 trillion globally in 2022, and projected to exceed $8.1 trillion by 2026, a burning question arises: Is eCommerce still profitable in 2024? The answer is a resounding yes, but success depends on careful planning and making the right choices to stand out in a crowded marketplace.

Will ecommerce continue to grow? ›

Key stat: US retail ecommerce sales will reach $1.720 trillion by 2027, hitting a milestone of more than 20% of overall retail sales, according to our forecast.

Is e-commerce still growing? ›

U.S. ecommerce has grown at least 0.2 percentage points year over year since 2000, according to a Digital Commerce 360 analysis. The slowest growths were from 2007 to 2008 (5.1% penetration to 5.3%) and 2021 to 2022 (21.0% penetration to 21.2%).

How much is online shopping expected to grow? ›

Global B2C ecommerce revenue is expected to grow to USD$5.5 trillion by 2027 at a steady 14.4% compound annual growth rate.

What will happen to e-commerce in the future? ›

Future e-commerce leaders will be those that make the most of new technology and smartly capture the evolving trends at the onset. Prioritizing business strategy, customer needs and current capability goes a long way when outpacing the competition.

Is e-commerce booming? ›

Opportunities and Benefits of E-commerce

The exponential growth of India's internet economy, projected to reach $1 Tn by 2030, presents vast opportunities for businesses and consumers alike. E-commerce is at the forefront of this growth, with projections indicating a market size of $325 Bn by 2030.

What is the forecast for Pypl in 2024? ›

The company is expecting adjusted earnings per diluted share to increase “by a mid to high single-digit percentage” in 2024 from $3.83, based on new accounting methodology, last year. PayPal is seeking to curb expenses and right-size the business following a slew of acquisitions.

Will the global e-commerce economy continue to rise well into the future? ›

The global ecommerce market is expected to total $6.3 trillion in 2023. That figure is estimated to grow over the next few years, showing that borderless ecommerce is becoming a profitable option for online retailers. By 2024, 21.2% of total retail sales will happen online.

Which country is the world's fastest e-commerce growing market? ›

China. One of the most influential factors in the world economy is the e-commerce sector, and China is the undisputed leader in this field. With a total online sales volume of $1,538 billion in 2022, China holds 26.07% of the global e-commerce market share, far ahead of any other country.

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